Skip to main content
A market is one contract that pays $1 if its question resolves Yes. It is addressed by its venue and that venue’s own id: a ticker on Kalshi, a slug on Polymarket.
An event groups a venue’s markets the way people browse them: “Fed decision in October” holds one market per possible decision. Events carry:
  • Outcomes, each backed by one market, with the best Yes price on each venue that lists it and the implied chance.
  • A twin, when the same event is listed on the other venue and its outcomes are proven equivalent. Twinned outcomes are merged, so an outcome can carry prices from both venues.
  • Mutually exclusive, when at most one outcome can resolve Yes.
  • Timing: when the event starts, for games, and when it closes.

Finding events

Search reads plain language: kalshi longshots closing this week searches for what is left after the venue, price and closing filters are taken out, and says which filters it applied.

Prices

Prices are asks: what it costs to buy a Yes or a No contract now, per contract paying $1. The implied chance is the midpoint of the Yes ask and one minus the No ask. Prices come from each venue’s recorded top of book; for size, read the order book on the venue.